We've only won a Derby exacta bet a couple years back, so the following advice shouldn't be taken too seriously, but the one bet that sometimes has worked for us in other races is called a "US$1 partial wheel trifecta bet".
The lightly-raced colt has won all three of his career starts and tuned up for the Run for the Roses by romping to a three-length victory at the Santa Anita Derby.
"At the time, we had US Navy Flag and he had won two Group 1 races on the grass and obviously Mendelssohn hadn't, so rather than make too big a change, we chose to give him a chance to win a Group I on the turf with the view that we could train him over the winter with the Kentucky Derby in mind".
Those were different times, then. The distance was 1½ miles, instead of the current 1¼ miles. Three losers that come to mind are Arazi, Johannesburg and the one that buried me a year ago, Thunder Snow. Parimutuel wagering was more than two decades away. This tradition is as old as the race itself, as fans were required to wear morning dress during the first derby. The minimum bet was $5.
Magnum Moon is another horse who did not race as a two-year-old. And with only three races under his belt, running in a packed field of 20 might be a bit new to him.
Horses who compete in the Kentucky Derby are sometimes known to have odd names, which has been common in horse racing for some time. With the length of the stretch at Churchill Downs to work with, and with a good number of exhausted horses in front of him in the last quarter mile, I expect My Boy Jack to be passing many of them on the far turn and in the stretch and it just might be he passes them all for an upset of the likes not seen since Mine That Bird won the 2009 Derby and paid $103 for a $2 wager. The two teamed up to win the Holy Bull Stakes early in the prep season.
That favorite, unraced at 2, was ridden by Mike Smith and trained by Baffert.
Justify arrived at Churchill Downs with a thin but impressive resume and Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert drawing comparison to his star pupil American Pharoah, who in 2015 became the first Triple Crown champion in 37 years. He doesn't want to hear about any curses.
I'm betting this son of Scat Daddy from the Ghostzapper mare Stage Magic keeps his undefeated streak alive at four wins and that he breaks the "Curse of Apollo". "I think it's changed". Don't worry, we've got you covered with everything you need to know.
Where, by the way, no trainer has won more stakes races than. We just wanted to get him out and stretch his legs. He's a strong horse, but Justify just might be stronger. I think a big part of it is that the sample set is so small.
Any other advice? Yup, you never choose a white-haired horse as a first place victor.
Q: Any Derby longshot catching your eye during training hours? A win would make him the first to pull off the UAE-Kentucky Derby double. Then Barbaro came along.
"Crazy things happen in the Derby", Baffert said. At the same time, you have to respect 136 years of history. "Meanwhile, Mendelssohn has the best trainer in the world, Aiden O'Brien, and the best jockey in the world, Ryan Moore, and they're both trying to win their first Kentucky Derby". Romans said. "But if Curlin couldn't do it, it's going to be hard for anybody to do it". Palace Casino Digital and Social Media Specialist Shelby Waldron said, "We are doing our Derby Day Giveaway at Contact Sports Lounge".