The 30/1 underdog Solomini could finish in the money, and that would make any trifecta or perfecta pay big - real big! "When they went through the first 10 horses and I hadn't gotten in the mix yet, I thought maybe they'd lost my entries".
That's all part of the fun too.
All the guesses and handicapping using various angles can be ignored as the gates open on Saturday, when more than 150,000 fans are in full throat and 20 horses barrel down the front straightaway at Churchill Downs just hoping to survive the crush that heads into that first turn.
It is time for the horses make the annual run for the roses at this year's 144th Kentucky Derby.
This feels like a sure sign that summer is nearly here: The Canterbury Park horse racing season begins Friday!
If all this doesn't muddle the picture, consider there are 20 horses, some of which have no shot and create a lot of traffic for the genuine contenders.
That was Ryan Moore's sole ride in the first leg of the American Triple Crown and his decision to sidestep Newmarket's Guineas meeting says a lot about the intentions of all involved.
A few time-tested curses threaten to foil the victory chances of several highly regarded entrants in Saturday's Kentucky Derby field - most notably Justify, the Bob Baffert-trained 3-1 morning-line favorite. "The horse's merits, fundamentals, breaking, and the team that's in place all play a role in determining true 'potential.' It's from there that I identify over and underpriced horses".
The former, who is trained by Brad Cox and jockeyed by Florent Geroux, has lost just once in six races, finishing second by a neck to Road to Victory at the Grade-2 Golden Rod back in November.
"We've had a great spring", said Pletcher, who is tied with Lukas for the most Derby starters with 48.
But for some bettors, who rely on hunches and superstitions as much as the form chart, the "Curse of Apollo" will be on their minds when they step up to the wagering windows where a year ago $209.2 million was bet on the Kentucky Derby, according to the website WalletHub.
In addition to Justify, Scat Daddy will be represented in the Derby by three other sons - Mendelssohn, who is rated second in the morning line at 5-1, Flameaway and Combatant.
"Mendelssohn offers tremendous value breaking from Post 14 to win the Kentucky Derby", Nash told RealClearLife. I have picked four winners in a row, however, two of them were just flat out gifts. That's my Baffert bias, but don't @ me. Plus, his sire, Medaglia d'Oro, has a 17 percent win rate in the mud among his progeny and his broodmare sire, A.P. Indy, has produced a win rate of 19 percent among his offspring.
Always Dreaming and jockey John Velazquez celebrate winning Kentucky Derby 143 at Churchill Downs, 5/6/17. This is also a pick in honor of old buddy Jack Wells, who has helped rebuild the Owensboro riverfront.